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By Harry Fawcett Buckley

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And N. Tilley. 1997. Realistic Evaluation. London: Sage. Perry, J. 2010. Dewey Lecture: Wretched Subterfuge. American Philosophical Association: Pacific Division. Save the Children. 2003. Thin on the Ground. London: Save the Children. Sen, A. 1999. Development as Freedom. New York: Knopf. ——— . 1985. Commodities and Capabilities. Oxford: Oxford University Press. White, H. 2009. Theory-Based Impact Evaluation: Principles and Practice. New Delhi: The International Initiative for Impact Evaluation.

7 Finally, why suppose that were T to increase the probability of O in θ as predicted, that would be due to the positive effects in the shared subpopulations rather than in some subpopulations of θ not shared with φ? These questions need answers, and for EBPP, answers must be reasonably underpinned by empirical and theoretical support. One cannot just plop SC on the table and say that it is relevant to TC. Whether it is relevant depends on common explanatory factors, and presuming that common factors obtain requires good evidence.

Evidence, External Validity, and Explanatory Relevance 27 REFERENCES Achinstein, P. 2004. A Challenge to Positive Relevance Theorists: Reply to Roush. Philosophy of Science 71 (4): 521–24. ——— . 2001. The Book of Evidence. New York: Oxford University Press. ——— . 1996. Swimming in Evidence: A Reply to Maher. Philosophy of Science 63 (2): 175–82. ——— . 1983. The Nature of Explanation. New York: Oxford University Press. ——— . 1981a. Can There Be a Model of Explanation? Theory and Decision 13: 201–27.

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